Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Hennef 05 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Frechen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 25.5-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.0% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
74.0%
Model confidence
74.0%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20