GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 8/20/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hennef 05 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hennef 05 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Bonn-Endenich are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 6.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hennef 05 hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 37.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Hennef 05 holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hennef 05

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Hennef 05 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hennef 05LLWLL

GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bonn-EndenichL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/6.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Hennef 05Bonn-Endenich
49.4Attack40.2
29.9Defence35.6
40.2Form29.9
41.0Power37.3
2.16xG1.58
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