GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/23/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hendon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Winchester City are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HendonWWLLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Winchester CityDWWDD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HendonWinchester City
55.6Attack50.0
48.4Defence46.8
46.0Form45.2
51.9Power48.2
1.94xG1.42
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