GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/6/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hendon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Walton & Hersham are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Walton & Hersham hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HendonDLWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Walton & HershamLDDWW

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HendonWalton & Hersham
55.6Attack61.9
48.4Defence46.8
46.0Form51.6
51.9Power54.3
1.90xG1.78
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