GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/3/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hendon are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HendonDDWLW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tiverton TownLWLDL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
HendonTiverton Town
55.6Attack50.8
48.4Defence41.3
46.0Form41.3
51.9Power46.1
2.15xG1.43
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