GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/2/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Hendon are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

56.4%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HendonWWWLW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Swindon SupermarineWDWLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HendonSwindon Supermarine
55.6Attack57.9
48.4Defence27.0
46.0Form38.9
51.9Power42.8
2.70xG1.62
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