Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hendon are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Salisbury are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Salisbury
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40