GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/1/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hendon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hayes & Yeading United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HendonWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hayes & Yeading UnitedLDLDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HendonHayes & Yeading United
55.6Attack46.8
48.4Defence46.8
46.0Form36.5
51.9Power45.1
1.96xG1.31
View match centre →