GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/28/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Hendon are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Harrow Borough are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

65.7%

Model confidence

65.7%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HendonLDDDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Harrow BoroughLLLDL

GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HendonHarrow Borough
55.6Attack47.6
48.4Defence23.0
46.0Form31.0
51.9Power36.0
2.90xG1.30
View match centre →