GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/26/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hendon are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hanwell Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hanwell Town hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HendonWDDDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hanwell TownLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HendonHanwell Town
55.6Attack66.7
48.4Defence50.0
46.0Form66.7
51.9Power64.8
1.75xG1.60
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