GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/20/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hendon are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gosport Borough are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HendonDDDDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Gosport BoroughLWDWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HendonGosport Borough
55.6Attack0.0
48.4Defence66.7
46.0Form0.0
51.9Power26.7
1.86xG1.21
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