GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/21/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Hendon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HendonLWWDW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dorchester TownDLLWD

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HendonDorchester Town
55.6Attack52.4
48.4Defence38.9
46.0Form47.6
51.9Power48.3
2.22xG1.49
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