GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/2/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hendon are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Chesham United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HendonDLDLD

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Chesham UnitedDWWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HendonChesham United
55.6Attack65.9
48.4Defence63.5
46.0Form71.4
51.9Power67.2
1.25xG1.98
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