GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/30/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Hendon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Beaconsfield Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

53.6%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HendonWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Beaconsfield TownLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HendonBeaconsfield Town
55.6Attack50.0
48.4Defence38.1
46.0Form38.1
51.9Power44.0
2.29xG1.40
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