Hendonvs
Basingstoke Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/30/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Hendon are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hendon
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80