Henan Jianyevs
Tianjin Teda
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/16/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Henan Jianye · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Henan Jianye 0-1 Tianjin Teda
Original prediction
Henan Jianye
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 48.3% | 37.9% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.4% | 27.9% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 24.4% | 34.3% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Henan Jianye
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Henan Jianye has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40