GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/21/2023, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Henan Jianye · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Henan Jianye are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Qingdao Jonoon are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Henan Jianye hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Super League, while Henan Jianye holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Henan Jianye

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Henan Jianye has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Henan JianyeD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Qingdao JonoonL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Henan JianyeQingdao Jonoon
41.3Attack44.9
60.3Defence36.2
46.0Form30.4
50.3Power38.9
1.77xG0.95
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