GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Henan Jianye · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Henan Jianye are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hangzhou Greentown are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Henan Jianye hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Super League, while Henan Jianye holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Henan Jianye

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Henan Jianye has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Henan JianyeWWWLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hangzhou GreentownLWDDW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Henan JianyeHangzhou Greentown
41.3Attack49.2
60.3Defence42.9
46.0Form46.0
50.3Power47.3
1.54xG1.07
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