FA CupFA Cup
Tuesday, 21 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Henan Jianye

Henan Jianye

Home
WL
11
Full time
Dalian Zhixing

Dalian Zhixing

Away
W
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
GoalVio prediction
64% confidence
Henan Jianye(64%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Henan Jianye
64%
Draw
21%
Dalian Zhixing
15%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Henan Jianye
94
Dalian Zhixing
94
Defence
Henan Jianye
46
Dalian Zhixing
27
Momentum
Henan Jianye
50
Dalian Zhixing
100
Danger (xG)
Henan Jianye
0.45
Dalian Zhixing
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Henan Jianye)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Dalian Zhixing)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Henan Jianye)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Dalian Zhixing)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Henan JianyeHenan Jianye
WLLW
Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing
WLL

Probability breakdown

64% confidence
Henan Jianye64%
Draw21%
Dalian Zhixing15%

Henan Jianye leads with 64% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Henan Jianye head into this in FA Cup fixture at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium in mixed form (WL), while Dalian Zhixing arrive in mixed form (W). Henan Jianye have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Dalian Zhixing over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Henan Jianye (94/100) and Dalian Zhixing (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Henan Jianye have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Dalian Zhixing have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

Henan Jianye have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Henan Jianye and Dalian Zhixing in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Henan Jianye to win with 64% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Henan Jianye 6381%, Draw 2115%, Dalian Zhixing 1504%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Henan Jianye

Henan Jianye

W
vs Qingdao Jonoon
17 Jul 2026
51
xG 0.0
L
@ Yunnan Yukun
3 Jul 2026
12
L
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
27 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
15 May 2026
10
Dalian Zhixing

Dalian Zhixing

W
vs Wuhan Three Towns
4 Jul 2026
32
L
vs Shanghai Shenhua
28 Jun 2026
14
L
vs Qingdao Youth Island
15 May 2026
23

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing?

GoalVio's model predicts Henan Jianye to win with 64% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more