Henan Jianyevs
Chongqing Tongliang Long
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Henan Jianye · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Henan Jianye 1-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long
Original prediction
Henan Jianye
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 56.0% | 45.6% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.9% | 27.0% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 19.1% | 27.4% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Henan Jianye
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Henan Jianye has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40