Henan Jianyevs
Chengdu Better City
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 9/6/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chengdu Better City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Henan Jianye 0-0 Chengdu Better City
Original prediction
Chengdu Better City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 36.0% | 26.3% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.9% | 23.6% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 37.0% | 50.0% | 13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Chengdu Better City
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00