GGOALVIO

Norway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heming · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 4-1 (8%), 4-2 (7%), 5-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Heming 4-2 Lokomotiv Oslo

Original prediction

Heming

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4164.1%59.2%-4.9 pts
Draw5.4216.7%19.7%3.0 pts
Away4.7119.2%21.1%1.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.4–18%
  2. 2.4–27%
  3. 3.5–17%

Predicted outcome

Heming

Probability

59.2%

Model confidence

59.2%

Heming has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HemingWDDWW

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lokomotiv OsloWWLWL

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HemingLokomotiv Oslo
85.5Attack63.9
44.9Defence5.6
63.8Form40.3
63.4Power37.4
4.50xG1.94
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