GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/15/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasteras SK FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Helsingborg are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vasteras SK FK are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasteras SK FK hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Superettan, while Vasteras SK FK holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vasteras SK FK

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

59.9%

Vasteras SK FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HelsingborgLLLWL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Vasteras SK FKDWWLL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HelsingborgVasteras SK FK
57.4Attack53.3
33.3Defence73.3
44.4Form70.0
46.7Power66.5
0.93xG2.07
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