GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/4/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Osters IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Helsingborg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Osters IF are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Osters IF hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Superettan, while Osters IF holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Osters IF

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Osters IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HelsingborgLWLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Osters IFDDDLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HelsingborgOsters IF
57.4Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
44.4Form48.1
46.7Power50.3
1.83xG1.85
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