Helsingborgvs
Orebro SK
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Helsingborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Helsingborg 1-1 Orebro SK
Original prediction
Helsingborg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.9% | 52.5% | 8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.8% | 22.0% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 30.3% | 25.5% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Helsingborg
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Helsingborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20