Helsingborgvs
Ljungskile SK
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Helsingborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Helsingborg 1-1 Ljungskile SK
Original prediction
Helsingborg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.9% | 36.8% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.1% | 28.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 29.0% | 35.3% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Helsingborg
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Helsingborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40