Helmond Sportvs
VVV Venlo
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VVV Venlo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Helmond Sport 4-2 VVV Venlo
Original prediction
VVV Venlo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.9% | 28.4% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.9% | 24.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 37.2% | 47.3% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
VVV Venlo
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
VVV Venlo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60