Helmond Sportvs
Jong PSV U21
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jong PSV U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Helmond Sport 3-1 Jong PSV U21
Original prediction
Jong PSV U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 35.1% | 36.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 25.2% | 23.9% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 39.7% | 39.9% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Jong PSV U21
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Jong PSV U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00