Serie ASerie A
Sunday, 24 May 202619:45Updated today
Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona

Home
L
vs
19:45
AS Roma

AS Roma

Away
W
Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
AS Roma(45%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Hellas Verona
31%
Draw
24%
AS Roma
45%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hellas Verona
9
AS Roma
73
Defence
Hellas Verona
27
AS Roma
91
Momentum
Hellas Verona
0
AS Roma
100
Danger (xG)
Hellas Verona
0.84
AS Roma
3.39
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Hellas Verona)
0.84
avg per match
xG for (AS Roma)
3.39
avg per match
xG against (Hellas Verona)
3.39
avg per match
xG against (AS Roma)
0.84
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
LD
AS RomaAS Roma
WW

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Hellas Verona31%
Draw24%
AS Roma45%

AS Roma leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Hellas Verona head into this in Serie A fixture at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi in mixed form (L), while AS Roma arrive in mixed form (W). Hellas Verona have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for AS Roma over 1 games.

Tactically, AS Roma hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Hellas Verona defence (27/100), while Hellas Verona's attack faces a watertight AS Roma backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Hellas Verona have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. AS Roma have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Hellas Verona have generated 0.84 xG per game recently while conceding 3.39 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. AS Roma have generated 3.39 xG per game recently while conceding 0.84 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

AS Roma have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects AS Roma to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Hellas Verona 3097%, Draw 2403%, AS Roma 4500%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Hellas Verona 0Draws 01 AS Roma
Avg goals: 2.0
24 May 2026
Hellas Verona
L02
AS Roma
xG 0.83.4

Recent form

Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona

L
vs AS Roma
24 May 2026
02
xG 0.8
D
@ Inter
17 May 2026
11
AS Roma

AS Roma

W
@ Hellas Verona
24 May 2026
20
xG 3.4
W
vs Lazio
17 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hellas Verona vs AS Roma?

GoalVio's model predicts AS Roma to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hellas Verona vs AS Roma?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Hellas Verona vs AS Roma?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hellas Verona vs AS Roma?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more