Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Enskede · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (14%), 0-2 (14%), 0-4 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Helges 0-1 Enskede
Original prediction
Enskede
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12.80 | 7.3% | 4.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 6.69 | 13.9% | 10.4% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.18 | 78.8% | 85.0% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–314%
- 2.0–214%
- 3.0–411%
Predicted outcome
Enskede
Probability
85.0%
Model confidence
85.0%
Enskede has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HelgesLLLLL
GF 6 · GA 22 · avg 1.20/4.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
EnskedeWWWWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HelgesEnskede
29.3Attack56.0
5.3Defence68.0
13.3Form69.3
19.2Power65.7
0.54xG3.13