Heistvs
Thes Sport
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thes Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Heist 1-1 Thes Sport
Original prediction
Thes Sport
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.6% | 34.8% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.4% | 26.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.0% | 39.0% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Thes Sport
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Thes Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80