GGOALVIO

Belgium · First Amateur Division · 9/2/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heist · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heist are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Sint-Eloois-Winkel are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Heist hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the First Amateur Division, while Heist holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heist

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Heist has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeistDW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Sint-Eloois-WinkelDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
HeistSint-Eloois-Winkel
53.9Attack41.2
49.0Defence52.9
50.0Form45.1
52.4Power48.1
1.67xG1.15
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