Heistvs
Cercle Brugge II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heist · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Heist 3-1 Cercle Brugge II
Original prediction
Heist
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.1% | 45.3% | -14.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 20.9% | 24.8% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 4.72 | 19.0% | 29.9% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Heist
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Heist has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20