GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/29/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while TuS Geretsried are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

63.3%

Model confidence

63.3%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenLWLWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
TuS GeretsriedWDDLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HeimstettenTuS Geretsried
53.3Attack26.7
53.3Defence20.0
46.7Form33.3
53.0Power30.2
2.36xG1.01
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