GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/14/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Türkspor Augsburg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

59.3%

Model confidence

59.3%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenWDLWD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Türkspor AugsburgWLDDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HeimstettenTürkspor Augsburg
53.3Attack28.4
53.3Defence49.0
46.7Form28.4
53.0Power37.2
1.82xG0.74
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