Oberliga - Bayern SüdOberliga - Bayern Süd
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Heimstetten

Heimstetten

Home
D
12
Full time
Sportfreunde Schwaig

Sportfreunde Schwaig

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
54% confidence
Heimstetten(20%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Heimstetten
20%
Draw
26%
Sportfreunde Schwaig
54%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Heimstetten
34
Sportfreunde Schwaig
73
Defence
Heimstetten
66
Sportfreunde Schwaig
6
Momentum
Heimstetten
33
Sportfreunde Schwaig
0
Danger (xG)
Heimstetten
0.90
Sportfreunde Schwaig
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Heimstetten)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Sportfreunde Schwaig)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Heimstetten)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Sportfreunde Schwaig)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
HeimstettenHeimstetten
D
Sportfreunde SchwaigSportfreunde Schwaig
L

Probability breakdown

54% confidence
Heimstetten20%
Draw26%
Sportfreunde Schwaig54%

Sportfreunde Schwaig leads with 54% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Heimstetten head into this in Oberliga - Bayern Süd fixture in mixed form (D), while Sportfreunde Schwaig arrive in mixed form (L). Heimstetten have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Sportfreunde Schwaig over 1 games.

The model rates Heimstetten's attack at 34/100 against a 6/100 Sportfreunde Schwaig defence, and Sportfreunde Schwaig's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Heimstetten backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Heimstetten have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Sportfreunde Schwaig have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Heimstetten and Sportfreunde Schwaig in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Heimstetten to win with 54% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Heimstetten 2009%, Draw 2575%, Sportfreunde Schwaig 5416%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Heimstetten

Heimstetten

D
vs Sturm Hauzenberg
16 May 2026
11
Sportfreunde Schwaig

Sportfreunde Schwaig

L
vs Kirchanschöring
16 May 2026
23

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Heimstetten vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?

GoalVio's model predicts Heimstetten to win with 54% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Heimstetten vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Heimstetten vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Heimstetten vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more