GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 3/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportfreunde Schwaig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sportfreunde Schwaig are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportfreunde Schwaig hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sportfreunde Schwaig holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportfreunde Schwaig

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Sportfreunde Schwaig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenWWDLL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sportfreunde SchwaigLWLWD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
HeimstettenSportfreunde Schwaig
53.3Attack66.7
53.3Defence60.0
46.7Form53.3
53.0Power59.6
1.52xG1.63
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