GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 3/29/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sonthofen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenWWLDL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SonthofenWWWLD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HeimstettenSonthofen
53.3Attack52.0
53.3Defence51.0
46.7Form44.1
53.0Power49.7
1.68xG1.40
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