GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 3/16/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sonthofen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenWLLDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SonthofenLWWLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
HeimstettenSonthofen
53.3Attack52.0
53.3Defence51.0
46.7Form44.1
53.0Power49.7
1.68xG1.40
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