GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/5/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Rain / Lech are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenLLDWL

GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Rain / LechLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HeimstettenRain / Lech
53.3Attack42.2
53.3Defence47.1
46.7Form43.1
53.0Power46.1
1.83xG1.13
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