GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/8/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rain / Lech are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenLDWLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rain / LechDWWLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HeimstettenRain / Lech
53.3Attack42.2
53.3Defence47.1
46.7Form43.1
53.0Power46.1
1.83xG1.13
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