GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 3/15/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Nordlingen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NordlingenLWWWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HeimstettenNordlingen
53.3Attack64.7
53.3Defence51.0
46.7Form56.9
53.0Power57.5
1.64xG1.78
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