GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/16/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kottern are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenLWLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KotternWDLWL

GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
HeimstettenKottern
53.3Attack33.3
53.3Defence26.7
46.7Form20.0
53.0Power30.3
2.26xG1.07
View match centre →