GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 4/6/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kottern are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KotternDLDWD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
HeimstettenKottern
53.3Attack33.3
53.3Defence26.7
46.7Form20.0
53.0Power30.3
2.26xG1.07
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