GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 5/9/2025, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 4.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Grünwald are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenLWLWW

GF 24 · GA 13 · avg 4.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
GrünwaldLWWLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
HeimstettenGrünwald
53.3Attack56.3
53.3Defence18.8
46.7Form34.4
53.0Power36.6
2.89xG1.46
View match centre →