GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/1/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Garching are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 25.0-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 28.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.9% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

75.9%

Model confidence

75.9%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenWWDWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GarchingLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HeimstettenGarching
53.3Attack36.3
53.3Defence15.7
46.7Form21.6
53.0Power28.0
3.08xG0.92
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