GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Erlbach are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

34.5%

Model confidence

34.5%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenWWDLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ErlbachDDWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HeimstettenErlbach
53.3Attack46.7
53.3Defence73.3
46.7Form53.3
53.0Power58.6
1.33xG1.35
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