Heimstettenvs
Erlbach
SCHEDULEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Heimstetten are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Erlbach are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
34.5%
Model confidence
34.5%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80