GGOALVIO

Heimstetten logoHeimstettenvsErlbach logoErlbach

COMPLETED

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 7/30/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Erlbach are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

34.5%

Model confidence

34.5%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenDWWWW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ErlbachWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HeimstettenErlbach
53.3Attack46.7
53.3Defence73.3
46.7Form53.3
53.0Power58.6
1.33xG1.35
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