GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/4/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deisenhofen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenWLWWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
DeisenhofenWWWDW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HeimstettenDeisenhofen
53.3Attack40.0
53.3Defence40.0
46.7Form46.7
53.0Power42.8
1.93xG1.21
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