GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/10/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Heimstetten are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dachau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

55.6%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HeimstettenDLWDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
DachauWLLLD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HeimstettenDachau
53.3Attack52.0
53.3Defence32.4
46.7Form40.2
53.0Power42.3
2.36xG1.37
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